Clearing House Transport

Shell motor vehicle scenarios until 2030

In the Shell-study, two scenarios were modeled which show the future of the automobile sector in Germany until the year 2030. The "Tradition" scenario assumes a hesitating community, the "Impulse" scenario a dynamic, flexible community. According to these scenarios, the automobile stock will grow until the year 2030 to 49 million and 53.5 million cars respectively.

General information on data set

Temporal and spatial information

Time period of data collection 2004 - 2030
Country Germany

Investigation and data collection methodology

Data set variables car ownership, motorisation, new registrations per year, average mileage per year and vehicle [km], total mileage [km], average consumption in stock [l/100 km], total consumption in automobile traffic [t], CO2 emissions in automobile traffic [t]
Investigation design other (not specified)
Frequency of data collection other (not specified)
Data collection method other (Simulation)
Data collection tool other (not specified)
Analysis unit Vehicle

Access to data set

Collected by
  • Shell AG
  • Shell AG
Contact for data set

Deposit Information

Depositing User Antje von Schmidt
Date Deposited 23 Mar 2007 14:14
Last Modified 30 Sep 2020 08:33
Repository staff only View Item Edit Item
Available Files
Format Title Language License Get File
PDF Bericht zur Shell Pkw-Studie Deutsch not specified Download (817kB)


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